Francesco Passaro vs Luka Pavlovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Pavlovic has a slight advantage in second serve performance, winning 46.98% of points compared to Passaro's 46.84%. Is this negligible, or could it be a decisive factor?
• Passaro is marginally stronger in returning serve, winning 43.83% of second serve return points compared to Pavlovic's 43.27%, and also leads first serve return points with 25.86% to Pavlovic's 23.99%.
• When facing breakpoints, Passaro excels with a save rate of 61.11%, while Pavlovic lags slightly behind at 58.78%. Could this give Passaro an edge during crucial moments in the match?
• Both players have comparable match win percentages over the past year, with Passaro at 62.5% and Pavlovic at 62.07%.
• Surface preferences show Pavlovic favors Grass with a 67% win rate, while Passaro performs best on Clay with a 61% win rate. Will the match surface influence the outcome?
• Pavlovic has a better success rate at Challenger and ITF tournaments with a 66% win rate compared to Passaro's 61.29%. However, Passaro has faced higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 188.55, while Pavlovic's opponents averaged a rank of 273.93.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Passaro has a slight advantage, winning 68% of these matches, compared to Pavlovic's 62%.
• Passaro's breakpoint conversion rate stands at 32.4%, significantly higher than Pavlovic's 21.91%. Could this make a difference in critical break opportunities?

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the strengths and weaknesses of both players, distinct patterns emerge that may predict the likely outcome of the upcoming match.

While Pavlovic shows a slight edge in second serve performance, Passaro leads in return stats, break point saving, and conversion rates—key areas that often determine match outcomes. This ability to capitalize on break opportunities and manage pressure situations gives Passaro a notable advantage.

Although both players have similar win ratios over the past year, the quality of opponents and surface preference can play pivotal roles. Passaro's preference for Clay and his experience against higher-ranked players may serve him well in this encounter.

Given these factors, Passaro appears to be the stronger contender. His performance in returning serves and converting break points, complemented by his resilience under pressure, suggests he is likely to emerge victorious in this matchup.